jurassic.park-第16部分

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　　　　〃The　can's　a　little　heavier　than　usual；　is　all。〃　Dodgson's　technical　team　had　been　assembling　it　around　the　clock　for　the　last　two　days。　Quickly　he　showed　him　how　it　worked。
　　　　〃How　much　coolant　gas　is　inside？〃
　　　　〃Enough　for　thirty…six　hours。　The　embryos　have　to　be　back　in　San　José　by　then。〃
　　　　〃That's　up　to　your　guy　in　the　boat；〃　the　man　said。　〃Better　make　sure　he　has　a　portable　cooler　on　board。〃
　　　　〃I'll　do　that；〃　Dodgson　said。
　　　　〃And　let's　just　review　the　bidding。　。　。　。〃
　　　　〃The　deal　is　the　same；〃　Dodgson　said。　〃Fifty　thousand　on　delivery　of　each　embryo。　If　they're　viable；　an　additional　fifty　thousand　each。〃
　　　　〃That's　fine。　Just　make　sure　you　have　the　boat　waiting　at　the　east　dock　of　the　island；　Friday　night。　Not　the　north　dock；　Where　the　big　supply　boats　arrive。　The　east　dock。　It's　a　small　utility　dock。　You　got　that？〃
　　　　〃I　got　it；〃　Dodgson　said。　〃When　will　you　be　back　in　San　José？〃
　　　　〃Probably　Sunday。〃　The　man　pushed　away　from　the　counter。
　　　　Dodgson　fretted。　〃You're　sure　you　know　how　to　work　the…〃
　　　　〃I　know；〃　the　man　said。　〃Believe　me；　I　know。〃
　　　　〃Also；〃　Dodgson　said；　〃we　think　the　island　maintains　constant　radio　contact　with　InGen　corporate　headquarters　in　California；　so…〃
　　　　〃Look；　I've　got　it　covered；〃　the　man　said。　〃Just　relax；　and　get　the　money　ready。　I　want　it　all　Sunday　morning；　in　San　José　airport；　in　cash。〃
　　　　〃It'll　be　waiting　for　you；〃　Dodgson　said。　〃Don't　worry。〃

Malcolm
　　　　
Shortly　before　midnight；　be　stepped　on　the　plane　at　the　Dallas　airport；　a　tall；　thin；　balding　man　of　thirty…five；　dressed　entirely　in　black：　black　shirt；　black　trousers；　black　socks；　black　sneakers。
　　　　〃Ah；　Dr。　Malcolm；〃　Hammond　said；　smiling　with　forced　graciousness。
　　　　Malcolm　grinned。　〃Hello；　John。　Yes；　I　am　afraid　your　old　nemesis　is　here。〃
　　　　Malcolm　shook　bands　with　everyone；　saying　quickly；　〃Ian　Malcolm；　how　do　you　do？　I　do　maths。〃　He　struck　Grant　as　being　more　amused　by　the　outing　than　anything　else。
　　　　Certainly　Grant　recognized　his　name。　Ian　Malcolm　was　one　of　the　most　famous　of　the　new　generation　of　mathematicians　who　were　openly　interested　in　〃how　the　real　world　works。〃　These　scholars　broke　with　the　cloistered　tradition　of　mathematics　in　several　important　ways。　For　one　thing；　they　used　puters　constantly；　a　practice　traditional　mathematicians　frowned　on。　For　another；　they　worked　almost　exclusively　with　nonlinear　equations；　in　the　emerging　field　called　chaos　theory。　For　a　third；　they　appeared　to　care　that　their　mathematics　described　something　that　actually　existed　in　the　real　world。　And　finally；　as　if　to　emphasize　their　emergence　from　academia　into　the　world；　they　dressed　and　spoke　with　what　one　senior　mathematician　called　〃a　deplorable　excess　of　personality。〃　In　fact；　they　often　behaved　like　rock　stars。
　　　　Malcolm　sat　in　one　of　the　padded　chairs。　The　stewardess　asked　him　if　he　wanted　a　drink。　He　said；　〃Diet　Coke；　shaken　not　stirred。〃
　　　　Humid　Dallas　air　drifted　through　the　open　door。　Ellie　said；　〃Isn't　it　a　little　warm　for　black？〃
　　　　〃You're　extremely　pretty；　Dr。　Sattler；〃　he　said。　〃I　could　look　at　your　legs　all　day。　But　no；　as　a　matter　of　fact；　black　is　an　excellent　Color　for　heat。　If　you　remember　your　black…body　radiation；　black　is　actually　best　in　heat。　Efficient　radiation。　In　any　case；　I　wear　only　two　colors；　black　and　gray。〃
　　　　Ellie　was　staring　at　him；　her　mouth　open。　〃These　colors　are　appropriate　for　any　occasion；〃　Malcolm　continued；　and　they　go　well　together；　should　I　mistakenly　put　on　a　pair　of　gray　socks　with　my　black　trousers。〃
　　　　〃But　don't　you　find　it　boring　to　wear　only　two　colors？〃
　　　　〃Not　at　all。　I　find　it　liberating。　I　believe　my　life　has　value；　and　I　don't　want　to　waste　it　thinking　about　clothing；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃I　don't　want　to　think　about　what　I　will　wear　in　the　morning。　Truly；　can　you　imagine　anything　more　boring　than　fashion？　Professional　sports；　perhaps。　Grown　men　swatting　little　balls；　while　the　rest　of　the　world　pays　money　to　applaud。　But；　on　the　whole；　I　find　fashion　even　more　tedious　than　sports。〃
　　　　〃Dr。　Malcolm；〃　Hammond　explained；　〃is　a　man　of　strong　opinions。〃
　　　　〃And　mad　as　a　hatter；〃　Malcolm　said　cheerfully。　〃But　you　must　admit；　these　are　nontrivial　issues。　We　live　in　a　world　of　frightful　givens。　It　is　given　that　you　will　behave　like　this；　given　that　you　will　care　about　that。　No　one　thinks　about　the　givens。　Isn't　it　amazing？　In　the　information　society；　nobody　thinks。　We　expected　to　banish　paper；　but　we　actually　banished　thought。〃
　　　　Hammond　turned　to　Gennaro　and　raised　his　hands。　〃You　invited　him。〃
　　　　〃And　a　lucky　thing；　too；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃Because　it　sounds　as　if　you　have　a　serious　problem。〃
　　　　〃We　have　no　problem；〃　Hammond　said　quickly。
　　　　〃I　always　maintained　this　island　would　be　unworkable；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃I　predicted　it　from　the　beginning。〃　He　reached　into　a　soft　leather　briefcase。　〃And　I　trust　by　now　we　all　know　what　the　eventual　oute　is　going　to　be。　You're　going　to　have　to　shut　the　thing　down。〃
　　　　〃Shut　it　down！〃　Hammond　stood　angrily。　〃This　is　ridiculous。〃
　　　　Malcolm　shrugged；　indifferent　to　Hammond's　outburst。　〃I've　brought　copies　of　my　original　paper　for　you　to　took　at；〃　he　said。　〃The　original　consultancy　paper　I　did　for　InGen。　The　mathematics　are　a　bit　sticky；　but　I　can　walk　you　through　it。　Are　you　leaving　now？〃
　　　　〃I　have　some　phone　calls　to　make；〃　Hammond　said；　and　went　into　the　adjoining　cabin。
　　　　〃Well；　it's　a　long　flight；〃　Malcolm　said　to　the　others。　〃At　least　my　paper　will　give　you　something　to　do。〃

The　plane　flew　through　the　night。
　　　　Grant　knew　that　Ian　Malcolm　had　his　share　of　detractors；　and　he　could　understand　why　some　found　his　style　too　abrasive；　and　his　applications　of　chaos　theory　too　glib。　Grant　thumbed　through　the　paper；　glancing　at　the　equations。
　　　　Gennaro　said；　〃Your　paper　concludes　that　Hammond's　island　is　bound　to　fail？〃
　　　　〃Correct。〃
　　　　〃Because　of　chaos　theory？〃
　　　　〃Correct。　To　be　more　precise；　because　of　the　behavior　of　the　system　in　phase　space。〃
　　　　Gennaro　tossed　the　paper　aside　and　said；　〃Can　you　explain　this　in　English？〃
　　　　〃Surely；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃Let's　see　where　we　have　to　start。You　know　what　a　nonlinear　equation　is？〃
　　　　〃No。〃
　　　　〃Strange　attractors？〃
　　　　〃No。〃
　　　　〃All　right；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃Let's　go　back　to　the　beginning。〃　He　paused；　staring　at　the　ceiling。　〃Physics　has　had　great　success　at　describing　certain　kinds　of　behavior：　planets　in　orbit；　spacecraft　going　to　the　moon；　pendulums　and　springs　and　rolling　balls；　that　sort　of　thing。　The　regular　movement　of　objects。　These　are　described　by　what　are　called　linear　equations；　and　mathematicians　can　solve　those　equations　easily。　We've　been　doing　it　for　hundreds　of　years。〃
　　　　〃Okay；〃　Gennaro　said。
　　　　〃But　there　is　another　kind　of　behavior；　which　physics　handles　badly。　For　example；　anything　to　do　with　turbulence。　Water　ing　out　of　a　spout。　Air　moving　over　an　airplane　wing。　Weather。　Blood　flowing　through　the　heart。　Turbulent　events　are　described　by　nonlinear　equations。　They're　bard　to　solve…in　fact；　they're　usually　impossible　to　solve。　So　physics　has　never　understood　this　whole　class　of　events。　Until　about　ten　years　ago。　The　new　theory　that　describes　them　is　called　chaos　theory。
　　　　〃Chaos　theory　originally　grew　out　of　attempts　to　make　puter　models　of　weather　in　the　1960s。　Weather　is　a　big　plicated　system；　namely　the　earth's　atmosphere　as　it　interacts　with　the　land　and　the　sun。　The　behavior　of　this　big　plicated　system　always　defied　understanding。　So　naturally　we　couldn't　predict　weather。　But　what　the　early　researchers　learned　from　puter　models　was　that；　even　if　you　could　understand　it；　you　still　couldn't　predict　it。　Weather　prediction　is　absolutely　impossible。　The　reason　is　that　the　behavior　of　the　system　is　sensitively　dependent　on　initial　conditions。〃
　　　　〃You　lost　me；〃　Gennaro　said。
　　　　use　a　cannon　to　fire　a　shell　of　a　certain　weight；　at　a　certain　speed；　and　a　certain　angle　of　inclination…and　if　I　then　fire　a　second　shell　with　almost　the　same　weight；　speed；　and　angle…what　well　happen？〃
　　　　〃The　two　shells　will　land　at　almost　the　same　spot。〃
　　　　〃Right；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃That's　linear　dynamics。〃
　　　　〃Okay。〃
　　　　〃But　if　I　have　a　weather　system　that　I　start　up　with　a　certain　temperature　and　a　certain　wind　speed　and　a　certain　humidity…and　if　I　then　repeat　it　with　almost　the　same　temperature；　wind；　and　humidity…the　second　system　will　not　behave　almost　the　same。　It'll　wander　off　and　rapidly　will　bee　very　different　from　the　first。　Thunderstorms　instead　of　sunshine。　That's　nonlinear　dynamics。　They　are　sensitive　to　initial　conditions：　tiny　differences　bee　amplified。〃
　　　　〃I　think　I　see；〃　Gennaro　said。
　　　　〃The　shorthand　is　the　'butterfly　effect。'　A　butterfly　flaps　its　wings　in　Peking；　and　weather　in　New　York　is　different。〃
　　　　〃So　chaos　is　all　just　random　and　unpredictable？〃　Gennaro　said。　〃Is　that　it？〃
　　　　〃No；〃　Malcolm　said。　〃We　actually　find　bidden　regularities　within　the　plex　variety　of　a　system's　behavior。　That's　why　chaos　has　now　bee　a　very　broad　theory　that's　used　to　study　everything　from　the　stock　market；　to　rioting　crowds；　to　brain　waves　during　epilepsy。　Any　sort　of　plex　system　where　there　is　confusion　and　unpredictability。　We　can　find　an　underlying　order。　Okay？〃
　　　　〃Okay；〃　Gennaro　said。　〃But　wh